What can be a consequence of relying heavily on assumptions?

Relying heavily on assumptions can lead to an increased likelihood of errors in judgment because assumptions often lack adequate evidence or validation. When decisions are based on unexamined beliefs or incomplete information, they can obscure critical analysis and hinder accurate assessments of situations. This reliance can result in overlooking important data, failing to consider alternative perspectives, or misinterpreting information.

In environments where decisions must be made with precision—such as in intelligence analysis—making assumptions can lead analysts to draw incorrect conclusions or adopt ineffective strategies. The absence of rigorous evaluation of these assumptions may result in significant operational risks or inaccuracies in reporting. Therefore, recognizing the pitfalls of dependence on assumptions is crucial for cultivating a more informed and reliable decision-making process.